imagine being born in year 2019. the mainstream CPU now is 6 core, soon to be 8 core in 2020. GPU just got its 1st gen of raytracing. VR is taking off. Real globalized internet is taking off with companies such as SpaceX launching thousands of near eath satellite. 5G is taking off. Everyone has mobile phones even in poorest countries like in Africa. Self-driving car is just taking off.
All of these tech have one thing in common and that is IT. We're still in the middle of the IT revolution. Those who are born today are extremely lucky.
I think the best era to be born is in a tech stagnant/stable era. Imagine being born as a female in the 1920s, and when you're 20 years old in 1940s, you're a housewife, having to do house work by hand, and you gave birth to a daughter. Then in 1960s she got married and became a housewive. By this time, the electricity revolution has largely completed, with TVs, microwaves, vaccum cleaners, washing machines, electric ovens, blowdryers, dishwashers. Your daughter is still a housewive but her job just got like 80% easier. You look back and realize just how much time you wasted doing all these household chores which you didn't enjoy.
And the housewife who was born in the 20s wasn't even born before the electricity revolution. By the 20s, there was already radio, music player, elephone, electric light.
I think it really feels unfair on some level. That is, just because you're born in a different era your life experience changes greatly.
And don't tell me the rhetoric of "theres always something new on the horizon". That's a poor argument, because tech matures. Eletricity revolution matured in the 60s and 70s, not many new major domestic work electric appliances came after that. So those born in the right time, took full advantage/benefit of that revolution.
I suspect the IT revolution is going to mature around year 2050. I think IT tech will enter a bottleneck/limitation when it came to 3nm, then it would need a major paradigm shift to advance beyond that physical limit, which would be very hard and nobody knows how long it would take.
Therefore, the best time to be born to take full advantage of IT revolution is year 2030, I believe. One born in 2030 would be 20 years old at year 2050, fully enjoying all the fruit of labor of IT revolution. After 2050, IT will certainly still evolve, but at a much slower pace, and more focused on improvements, rather than new IT techs because all the low hanging fruit would be long gone by then.
And finally, I know the mindset/worldview I just outlined, might sound really strange at first glance, but think about it, when you're in the society, you're actively contributing to the society. Whether through your taxes, your work. Your money goes to the cable companies, Apple, Google, your ISPs, the government, and so on. A random person's contribution to society in the 1910s, is probably just as much as a random person today, and yet the former lives in a much worse world. Or think about it another way, you're airdropped into a society as a common man. Would you rather it be today, or earlier?
Submitted November 15, 2019 at 06:52PM by vntoknt0 https://ift.tt/353YEKA via TikTokTikk
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